Natural gas now picks of the week – may 5, 2018natural gas now gas 87 89 91

Cuomo, through his DEC, is telling the Court that if it doesn’t like its delays in processing applications, it can go to hell. They’ll just deny the applications for “lack of information.” This won’t end well for Cuomo, policy-wise, but he doesn’t care; it’s about election year pandering.

No one familiar with places such as Bradford, Susquehanna and Washington Counties in Pennsylvania will be surprised at this, but I predict this study published by the Society for Risk Analysis will cause our fractivist readers to go apoplectic:

With the rapid growth of unconventional oil and natural gas development transforming the U.S. economic and physical landscape, social scientists have increasingly explored the spatial dynamics of public support for this issue—that is, whether people closer to unconventional oil and gas development are more supportive or more opposed.

While theoretical frameworks like construal‐level theory and the “Not in My Backyard” (or NIMBY) moniker provide insight into these spatial dynamics, case studies in specific locations experiencing energy development reveal substantial variation in community responses. Larger‐scale studies exploring the link between proximity and support have been hampered by data quality and availability. We draw on a unique data set that includes geo‐coded data from national surveys (nine waves; n = 19,098) and high‐resolution well location data to explore the relationship between proximity and both familiarity with and support for hydraulic fracturing.

We use two different measures of proximity—respondent distance to the nearest well and the density of wells within a certain radius of the respondent’s location. We find that both types of proximity to new development are linked to more familiarity with hydraulic fracturing, even after controlling for various individual and contextual factors, but only distance‐based proximity is linked to more support for the practice. When significant, these relationships are similar to or exceed the effects of race, income, gender, and age. We discuss the implications of these findings for effective risk communication as well as the importance of incorporating spatial analysis into public opinion research on perceptions of energy development.

The full study is behind a pay wall but, clearly, if either the density of wells or proximity to wells had yielded a decline in support for fracking we’d be reading about it in this abstract. Instead, we find support for fracking increases the closer the respondent was to the nearest well. I think I can hear the shrieking from fractivists in the distance.

I remember the first time I heard the term “peak oil.” It was at a planning meeting in the Town of Franklin, Otsego County, NY and an aging hippy type got up to make a short presentation on the subject, noting he had somehow got the town board to appoint him head of a committee to deal with it. I suspect they found that was a the easiest way to keep him busy as they addressed somewhat more serious subjects.

It was, in any case, one of those moments where I had to restrain myself from laughing out loud. I had read “Limits to Growth,” too, but had grown up. He hadn’t. Still this was the early 2000’s before the shale revolution. Now? Well things are different, aren’t they? Here’s an article from the Boston Herald:

The Wall Street Journal confirms that U.S. oil production “is expected this year to surpass Saudi Arabia’s” and that we will rival Russia for No. 1 in the world. American production will rise to almost 11 million barrels a day, the most ever in American history. Doesn’t it seem like yesterday when the left was running around shrieking about “peak oil”? More like peak idiocy.

As global oil markets shift their attention from U.S. shale oil production back to a resurgent Saudi Arabia and Russia and geopolitical concerns bearing down on oil prices, Citigroup said last Wednesday that the U.S. is poised to surpass Saudi Arabia next year as the world’s largest exporter of crude and oil products.

The U.S. exported a record 8.3 million barrels per day (bpd) last week of crude oil and petroleum products, the government also said Wednesday. Top crude oil exporter Saudi Arabia’s, for its part, exported 9.3 million bpd in January, while Russia exported 7.4 million bpd, the bank added…