The nifty 50 no longer reflects the indian economy cfa institute enterprising investor e85 gas stations in ohio


Indeed, when it comes to earnings growth, the most popular benchmark 4 main gases in the atmosphere index in India has not only trailed the larger Indian economy over the last decade, it has also lagged behind the SP 500 by a country mile. Yet India’s economic growth is vastly outpacing that of the United States. This bizarre phenomenon has far-reaching implications for Indian investors.

On the face of it, the 10-year share price return from investing in the index is a respectable 14%. But that figure is deceptively flattering. The NIFTY 50’s quality — or lack thereof — is reflected in returns from the 50 stocks that composed the index in 2009. Such an equal-weighted portfolio would yield an annual return of -1% (CAGR over gas finder mn 10 years). And, again, that’s after beginning the measurement period in February 2009, when the market was close to its post-Lehman Brothers nadir.

If the typical investor’s cost of equity in Indian stocks is 15%, only 19 constituents of the NIFTY 50 delivered returns in excess of that. And that figure is also enhanced by the February 2009 start. These 19 outperformers — ranked in descending electricity schoolhouse rock order of performance — are HCL Tech, TCS, HDFC Bank, Maruti Suzuki, MM, Zee, HUL, HDFC, Wipro, Tata Motors, BPCL, Infosys, ITC, Siemens, Hindalco, ICICI Bank, Grasim, LT, and Sun Pharma. With four exceptions static electricity examples, all of these firms are from such relatively capital-light or business-to-consumer sectors as consumer, auto, pharma, and banking.

The other 31 companies whose 10-year returns are below the cost of capital m gastrocnemius are from balance-sheet heavy sectors: power, construction, metals, telecom, real estate, and oil and gas. Together, these accounted for roughly 30%–35% of the Indian economy, according to government data. And yet these companies made up two-thirds of the companies in the NIFTY 50. That leaves little room in the index for firms that represent more vibrant sectors of the economy.

Moreover, over the last five years, the NIFTY 50’s performance has increasingly diverged from that z gas el salvador of India’s nominal GDP, after faithfully tracking it for much of the preceding decade. This suggests many of the drivers of the Indian economy are no longer in the listed market. For example, taxi aggregators, like Ola and Uber; online retailers like Flipkart and Amazon; electronics goods manufacturers; car manufacturers other than Maruti; hotels besides Taj, Oberoi, and Lemontree; etc types of electricity tariff., are all unlisted.

Most of what affluent India buys no longer appears in the listed market either. The companies that cater to the wealthy can access capital at low cost without entering the stock market, so their contribution to GDP is not youtube gas pedal reflected in any index. If, as the Indian economy matures, the unlisted world continues to provide capital at lower cost than the listed market, then the gap between GDP and market cap will widen further.

• Since two-thirds of NIFTY 50 constituents have failed to generate returns that exceed the cost of capital, large-cap Indian funds composed of mostly NIFTY 50 stocks are difficult investment to justify. On the gas in babies at night other hand, even a relatively simple strategy — like our Consistent Compounders algorithm, which focuses on a select subset of NIFTY 50 stocks — can deliver returns that consistently exceed the cost of capital o gastronomico.

• The Indian stock market’s failure to provide lower-cost funding than private equity firms is depriving the NIFTY 50 of high-quality companies that can better align the index with the larger Indian economy. The more critical foreign and private equity-funded firms become in India, the bigger the questions mark around the relevance of the Indian stock market as a medium through which ordinary investors can benefit from the country’s economic growth.

• That SP 500 earnings outpace US economic growth suggests that US companies can tap into emerging markets much more effectively than NIFTY 50 firms. This raises troubling questions electricity 101 video about the quality of capital allocation and accounting in NIFTY 50 companies and suggests that Indian investors should perhaps consider a diverse portfolio of global companies.

• There is a widespread misperception x men electricity mutant that by building portfolios that overweight to small and mid caps, investors can beat the NIFTY 50’s slow earnings growth. But such a strategy, like buying small-cap exchange-traded funds (ETFs), does not protect investors from the underlying challenge: That electricity vs gasoline private equity can cherry pick the best opportunities while the capital markets are dominated by sclerotic sectors and the dregs of the Indian economy.

Saurabh Mukherjea, CFA, is founder and chief investment officer of Marcellus Investment Managers. He is the former CEO of Ambit Capital and played a key role in Ambit’s rise as a broker and a wealth manager. When Mukherjea left Ambit in June 2018, assets under advisory were $800mn. Prior to Ambit, Saurabh was co-founder of Clear Capital, a London-based small-cap equity research firm that was created in 2003 and sold in 2008 o gosh corpus christi. He is a CFA charterholder with a BS in economics (with First Class Honours) and an MS in economics (with distinction in macroeconomics and microeconomics) from the London School of Economics. In India, Mukherjea is a SEBI-registered research analyst and he has passed the SEBI’s approved exams for investment advisers. In 2018, at SEBI’s invitation, he joined SEBI’s Asset Management Advisory Committee. He has written three bestselling books: Gurus of Chaos (2014), The Unusual Billionaires (2016), and “Coffee Can Investing gas out game instructions: The low risk route to stupendous returns” (2018).